Aleatoric Terminal

A browser terminal for BTC on Binance spot and the USDT-M perpetual, with a calibrated 10-second price distribution drawn on the chart and the depth ladder.

Cone 10s
The ranges the spot microprice ends inside 10 seconds from now with probability 50%, 90% and 98%, drawn ahead of the last candle.
P(beyond 10s)
On each ladder row, the probability that the spot microprice is beyond that row's price 10 seconds from now: where it finishes, not whether it touches.
The terminal needs a desktop browser

What the numbers are

Output
The 10-second model emits 100 percentiles of the spot microprice 10 seconds ahead, from the same runtime our Synth miner runs, and Synth's validators score its forecasts in public.
Events
Every probability is of a defined event, and the hover on each number states that event.
Direction
The median of the distribution is not a call on direction: the terminal never draws an arrow from it and colors nothing up or down by it.
Limits
Measured on July and August 2026 data, ladder probabilities from 0.75% to 15% came true 5% to 29% less often than stated on days inside the model's training window, and values under 0.4% came true 1.36 to 2.77 times as often on days before it.
Market data flows between Binance and your browser directly; none of it is relayed through our servers, which send only the model outputs. No account. Free.